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The Art of Scrolling: Beating the Odds

Discussion in 'Guides' started by kiwiz, Nov 18, 2022.

  1. OP
    OP
    kiwiz
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    kiwiz Skelegon

    909
    562
    413
    May 7, 2018
    8:44 PM
    This Project has funded my 129 atk dagger and 7 atk cape. Now my Shadower is fully geared up! FoxXD
    I was considering 8 atk cape (about 450m more) but I've decided that I want to keep some meso.

    I've also made some minor upgrades to my Bishop with some of my own creations as well.
    TMA 25 Red Emerald Earrings, TMA 22 Dark Arten mage gloves and TMA 176 Wand 6.

    I'll be taking a break from scrolling for now and back to some good'ol skele grinding so likely there won't be any new items updates in the near future.

    Good luck!
     
  2. Socollocos
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    Socollocos King Slime

    26
    8
    36
    Oct 9, 2020
    7:44 AM
    Socoli
    Bowmaster
    Hi, I would like to know how you calculate the expected production cost. Can you please share some knowledge? Thanks
     
  3. OP
    OP
    kiwiz
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    kiwiz Skelegon

    909
    562
    413
    May 7, 2018
    8:44 PM
    I did the basic calculation that computes expected cost only for all passing slots for the earrings.

    The general formula would be:
    expectedCost = (itemCost + scrollCost) / scrollRate

    For 1st slot pass is straightforward, 7k for earrings, 800k for 70% scroll:
    (7k + 800k) / 0.7 = ~1,152,857

    If this value seems weird, imagine you have 10x earrings, 10x 70% scrolls and attempted the 1st slot for all 10 of them. On average 7 would pass.
    Total cost = 70k + 8m = 8.07m
    Divide the cost by the 7 passed earrings: 8.07m / 7 = ~1,152,857 (same value as the above)
    Which is the average cost of each earring that passed the first slot with the 70% scroll.

    In order to make 2nd slot pass, we need to make 1st slot pass first, which is the above cost, now feed into the formula as the new itemCost:
    (1,152,857 + 800k) / 0.7 = ~2,789,796

    For 3rd slot pass we will feed the cost of 2nd slot pass as the new itemCost and so on.

    Feel free to discord me. I may be slow with replies these 2 weeks but will still be faster than here.
     
    • Great Work Great Work x 2
    • Informative Informative x 1

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