How profitable is each (non-30 man) PB run?

I will preface this thread that this is an analysis on expected earnings, not actual earnings, since historically some runs have been luckier (or unluckier) than others. But for someone looking to join a non-30 man PB run, these are generally going to be what you can expect to earn from each PB run, factoring in splits and apple usage (assuming no deaths) exclusively and not potion usage. Individual experiences will vary.

A PB runner looking to level up their game and join a sub-30 man run may be curious, what's the difference between the various runs? Obviously there are subjective and intangible factors such as hosting quality, social activity, consistency, and of course, time restrictions. But what about the measurable factors? Different runs have different roster sizes, apple usage, and even split % awarded to different players. I was curious about how much each run's split policies affect a runners' expected earnings, and I'm sure other players are as well, so I decided to compile some data for fun. Let's take a look into the profitability of each run.

Data was collected from all PB runs active in the last year with at least 10 runs of data to use that are accessible through Gurk 's Bank Aggregator sheet. Absolute split percent and Onyx Apples used per attacker were then collected from the last 10 cleared runs and averaged for each run. Expected earnings are calculated in mesos and compared against an average drop per run of 300m and 500c, assuming Prestigious Coin prices are 2,050,000 mesos each and Onyx Apples are 2,100,000 mesos each. Dratini is no longer active but I had access to the data so I included it for fun. Other runs that do not appear in this data set either do not have 10 runs of data to pull from, or do not have publicly accessible sheets. Moo 1 apple usage has a sample size of 5 instead of 10 due to the difficulty in parsing information on the run's sheet.

Data for strictly single client attackers, sorted by expected average earnings per run:


Data for those muling Bishops specifically (as non-Bishops occasionally have reduced split bonuses compared to Bishops), sorted by expected average earnings per run:


Data for strictly single duo attackers, sorted by expected average earnings per run:

Note that duo attack data is missing for Moo 1 due to split policy unable to differentiate between muling and active secondary and tertiary clients, and thus you can assume duo attack splits will be identical to the Mule (Bishop) category, which would make it the least profitable run for duo attackers.

Here is the spreadsheet with the data if anyone wants to make a copy and play around with it for themselves: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eoc59JFpDEWWUhC566KuBZNXurLfI467hByC7u5CuTI/edit?usp=sharing

If you would like to access the raw data, please refer to this thread: https://forum.maplelegends.com/index.php?threads/bank-aggregator-spreadsheet.59867/

 

It would just be 3.33 for all of them, so I figured that data would be significantly less interesting.